A Comparative Techno-Economic Analysis of Sustainable Methanol Synthesis Pathways from Biomass and CO2

The call to reduce global CO2 emissions is at the forefront of research and development in the transportation and petrochemical industries. A potential solution which intersects both sectors is the adoption and commercialization of more sustainable technologies for methanol production. Currently, methanol is gaining popularity as a possible fuel additive, and as a polymer precursor via established methanol-to-olefins routes which are increasing in capacity and utilization, putting methanol in the spotlight and global methanol production on the rise. At the same time, experimental and computational studies have surged, illuminating a wide array of novel process designs to introduce sustainable methanol into the market. However, with numerous competing pathways identified across a variety of fossil and non-fossil feedstocks, there is a need to harmonize the analyses of these pathways using a consistent techno-economic approach and compare them to current commercial pathways to better understand the benefits or limitations inherent to each technology. In this work we conduct a consistent comparative analysis of three sustainable methanol synthesis pathways versus a commercial baseline, with biomass, CO2, and natural gas as the carbon sources. The three sustainable pathways of interest are biomass gasification to syngas with subsequent catalytic conversion of syngas to methanol, indirect conversion of CO2 to syngas via electrolysis with subsequent catalytic conversion of syngas to methanol, and direct conversion of CO2 to methanol via electrolysis. To elucidate the challenges and opportunities in the path to commercialization of each sustainable pathway, we investigate five key process metrics: production cost, carbon efficiency, carbon intensity, energy efficiency, and technology readiness level (TRL).