Economic Measurements of Polysilicon for the Photovoltaic Industry: Market Competition and Manufacturing Competitiveness

Ran Fu; Ted L. James; Michael Woodhouse

doi:10.1109/JPHOTOV.2014.2388076

Economic Measurements of Polysilicon for the Photovoltaic Industry: Market Competition and Manufacturing Competitiveness

Ran Fu, Ted L. James, Michael Woodhouse

Accelerated Deployment and Decision Support

National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

57 Scopus Citations

Abstract

Several economic metrics are presented for polysilicon in the solar photovoltaics (PV) industry. The overall level of market competition through exploration of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index and consolidation for the current polysilicon industry is quantified. In addition, for several international manufacturing locations, the most recent results in bottoms-up manufacturing cost and price modeling are shown for Siemens hydrochlorination (solar-grade), Siemens hyperpure, and fluidized bed reactor production of polysilicon. Finally, the entry barrier, which is defined as the upfront capital requirements to become a competitively sized facility, is quantified for today's polysilicon industry.

Original language	American English
Article number	7042229
Pages (from-to)	515-524
Number of pages	10
Journal	IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics
Volume	5
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/JPHOTOV.2014.2388076 https://doi.org/10.1109/JPHOTOV.2014.2388076
State	Published - 2015

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2011-2012 IEEE.

NREL Publication Number

NREL/JA-6A20-61384

Keywords

crystalline silicon (x-Si) (c-Si)
entry barrier
Herfindahl-Hirschman index
minimum sustainable price
photovoltaic
polysilicon manufacturing cost
solar energy

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title = "Economic Measurements of Polysilicon for the Photovoltaic Industry: Market Competition and Manufacturing Competitiveness",

abstract = "Several economic metrics are presented for polysilicon in the solar photovoltaics (PV) industry. The overall level of market competition through exploration of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index and consolidation for the current polysilicon industry is quantified. In addition, for several international manufacturing locations, the most recent results in bottoms-up manufacturing cost and price modeling are shown for Siemens hydrochlorination (solar-grade), Siemens hyperpure, and fluidized bed reactor production of polysilicon. Finally, the entry barrier, which is defined as the upfront capital requirements to become a competitively sized facility, is quantified for today's polysilicon industry.",

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AB - Several economic metrics are presented for polysilicon in the solar photovoltaics (PV) industry. The overall level of market competition through exploration of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index and consolidation for the current polysilicon industry is quantified. In addition, for several international manufacturing locations, the most recent results in bottoms-up manufacturing cost and price modeling are shown for Siemens hydrochlorination (solar-grade), Siemens hyperpure, and fluidized bed reactor production of polysilicon. Finally, the entry barrier, which is defined as the upfront capital requirements to become a competitively sized facility, is quantified for today's polysilicon industry.

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Economic Measurements of Polysilicon for the Photovoltaic Industry: Market Competition and Manufacturing Competitiveness

Abstract

Bibliographical note

NREL Publication Number

Keywords

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