Forecasting EV Charging Demand on the Distribution System

Research output: NLRPresentation

Abstract

The U.S. transportation and electricity sectors have historically operated independently, but the growth of electric vehicles (EVs) is driving their convergence. After decades of stagnant demand, utilities must prepare for rising load growth, driven in part by transportation electrification. Utilities must anticipate when and where these new loads will materialize to effectively manage EV growth and maintain grid reliability. This presentation outlines NREL's approach to developing high-resolution EV load datasets for distribution planning, with insights from the Multi-State Transportation Electrification Impact Study on EV and load forecasting, infrastructure requirements, and managed charging strategies.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages15
DOIs
StatePublished - 2025

Publication series

NamePresented at Distributech 2025, 24-27 March 2025, Dallas, Texas

NLR Publication Number

  • NREL/PR-5400-93664

Keywords

  • electric vehicles
  • EV
  • load forecast
  • smart charging

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