Impact of Wildfires on Solar Generation, Reserves and Energy Prices

Mengmeng Cai

Research output: NRELPresentation


Wildfire seasons in the Western U.S. become more prolonged and intense in recent years bringing significant variability and uncertainty of solar generation. It greatly challenges the bulk power system and electricity market operation managed by California Independent System Operator (CAISO) as California leads both the wildfire records and the solar power integration. This study presents a screening-level analysis of the impact of wildfires on solar generation, operating reserve and energy prices applying historical real-world wildfire and market operation data. To the best of the authors knowledge, it is a first-of-its-kind study and will lay the foundation for market impact quantification and wildfire mitigation strategies design based on projected wildfire activities in future years.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages16
StatePublished - 2023

Publication series

NamePresented at the IEEE Green Technologies (GreenTech) Conference, 19-21 April 2023, Denver, Colorado

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/PR-5D00-86061


  • electricity price
  • operating reserve
  • solar generation
  • wildfire


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