Impact of Wind Power on Electricity Prices

Carlo Brancucci Martinez-Anido, Gregory Brinkman, Brian Hodge, Carolyn Mathias

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

126 Scopus Citations

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of wind power on electricity prices using a production cost model of the Independent System Operator - New England power system. Different scenarios in terms of wind penetration, wind forecasts, and wind curtailment are modeled in order to analyze the impact of wind power on electricity prices for different wind penetration levels and for different levels of wind power visibility and controllability. The analysis concludes that electricity price volatility increases even as electricity prices decrease with increasing wind penetration levels. The impact of wind power on price volatility is larger in the shorter term (5-min compared to hour-to-hour). The results presented show that over-forecasting wind power increases electricity prices while under-forecasting wind power reduces them. The modeling results also show that controlling wind power by allowing curtailment increases electricity prices, and for higher wind penetrations it also reduces their volatility.

Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)474-487
Number of pages14
JournalRenewable Energy
Volume94
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Aug 2016

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2016.

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/JA-5D00-66190

Keywords

  • Electricity price
  • Production cost modeling
  • Wind forecasting
  • Wind power
  • Wind power curtailment

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