Impacts of Short-Term Solar Power Forecasts in System Operations

Ibrahim Krad; Brian Hodge; Eduardo Ibanez; Erik Ela

doi:10.1109/TDC.2016.7519885

Impacts of Short-Term Solar Power Forecasts in System Operations

Ibrahim Krad, Brian Hodge, Eduardo Ibanez, Erik Ela

Power Systems Engineering

Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper › peer-review

4 Scopus Citations

Abstract

Solar generation is experiencing an exponential growth in power systems worldwide and, along with wind power, is posing new challenges to power system operations. Those challenges are characterized by an increase of system variability and uncertainty across many time scales: from days, down to hours, minutes, and seconds. Much of the research in the area has focused on the effect of solar forecasting across hours or days. This paper presents a methodology to capture the effect of short-term forecasting strategies and analyzes the economic and reliability implications of utilizing a simple, yet effective forecasting method for solar PV in intra-day operations.

Original language	American English
Number of pages	5
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/TDC.2016.7519885 https://doi.org/10.1109/TDC.2016.7519885
State	Published - 22 Jul 2016
Event	2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition, T and D 2016 - Dallas, United States Duration: 3 May 2016 → 5 May 2016

Conference

Conference	2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition, T and D 2016
Country/Territory	United States
City	Dallas
Period	3/05/16 → 5/05/16

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 IEEE.

NREL Publication Number

NREL/CP-5D00-66314

Keywords

Forecasting
power system economics
power system reliability
Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED)
Security Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC)
Solar power generation

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title = "Impacts of Short-Term Solar Power Forecasts in System Operations",

abstract = "Solar generation is experiencing an exponential growth in power systems worldwide and, along with wind power, is posing new challenges to power system operations. Those challenges are characterized by an increase of system variability and uncertainty across many time scales: from days, down to hours, minutes, and seconds. Much of the research in the area has focused on the effect of solar forecasting across hours or days. This paper presents a methodology to capture the effect of short-term forecasting strategies and analyzes the economic and reliability implications of utilizing a simple, yet effective forecasting method for solar PV in intra-day operations.",

keywords = "Forecasting, power system economics, power system reliability, Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED), Security Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC), Solar power generation",

author = "Ibrahim Krad and Brian Hodge and Eduardo Ibanez and Erik Ela",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2016 IEEE.; 2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition, T and D 2016 ; Conference date: 03-05-2016 Through 05-05-2016",

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AU - Krad, Ibrahim

AU - Hodge, Brian

AU - Ibanez, Eduardo

AU - Ela, Erik

PY - 2016/7/22

Y1 - 2016/7/22

N2 - Solar generation is experiencing an exponential growth in power systems worldwide and, along with wind power, is posing new challenges to power system operations. Those challenges are characterized by an increase of system variability and uncertainty across many time scales: from days, down to hours, minutes, and seconds. Much of the research in the area has focused on the effect of solar forecasting across hours or days. This paper presents a methodology to capture the effect of short-term forecasting strategies and analyzes the economic and reliability implications of utilizing a simple, yet effective forecasting method for solar PV in intra-day operations.

AB - Solar generation is experiencing an exponential growth in power systems worldwide and, along with wind power, is posing new challenges to power system operations. Those challenges are characterized by an increase of system variability and uncertainty across many time scales: from days, down to hours, minutes, and seconds. Much of the research in the area has focused on the effect of solar forecasting across hours or days. This paper presents a methodology to capture the effect of short-term forecasting strategies and analyzes the economic and reliability implications of utilizing a simple, yet effective forecasting method for solar PV in intra-day operations.

KW - Forecasting

KW - power system economics

KW - power system reliability

KW - Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED)

KW - Security Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC)

KW - Solar power generation

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DO - 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519885

M3 - Paper

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T2 - 2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition, T and D 2016

Y2 - 3 May 2016 through 5 May 2016

ER -

Impacts of Short-Term Solar Power Forecasts in System Operations

Abstract

Conference

Bibliographical note

NREL Publication Number

Keywords

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