Optimization under Uncertainty of Site-Specific Turbine Configurations: Preprint

Julian Quick, Peter Graf, Frederik Zahle, Katherine Dykes

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper


Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages14
StatePublished - 2016
EventScience of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2016) - Munich, Germany
Duration: 5 Oct 20167 Oct 2016


ConferenceScience of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2016)
CityMunich, Germany

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/CP-5000-66808


  • decision support
  • optimization
  • turbine design
  • uncertainty
  • wind energy


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