Abstract
Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.
Original language | American English |
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Article number | Article No. 062012 |
Number of pages | 12 |
Journal | Journal of Physics: Conference Series |
Volume | 753 |
Issue number | 6 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 3 Oct 2016 |
Event | Science of Making Torque from Wind, TORQUE 2016 - Munich, Germany Duration: 5 Oct 2016 → 7 Oct 2016 |
Bibliographical note
See NREL/CP-5000-66808 for preprintNREL Publication Number
- NREL/JA-5000-67549
Keywords
- decision support
- optimization
- turbine design
- uncertainty
- wind energy