Optimization Under Uncertainty of Site-Specific Turbine Configurations

Julian Quick, Peter Graf, Frederik Zahle, Katherine Dykes

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Scopus Citations

Abstract

Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.

Original languageAmerican English
Article numberArticle No. 062012
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Physics: Conference Series
Volume753
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - 3 Oct 2016
EventScience of Making Torque from Wind, TORQUE 2016 - Munich, Germany
Duration: 5 Oct 20167 Oct 2016

Bibliographical note

See NREL/CP-5000-66808 for preprint

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/JA-5000-67549

Keywords

  • decision support
  • optimization
  • turbine design
  • uncertainty
  • wind energy

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