Overcoming the Disconnect Between Energy System and Climate Modeling

Michael Craig, Jan Wohland, Laurens Stoop, Alexander Kies, Bryn Pickering, Hannah Bloomfield, Jethro Browell, Matteo De Felice, Chris Dent, Adrien Deroubaix, Felix Frischmuth, Paula Gonzalez, Aleksander Grochowicz, Katharina Gruber, Philipp Hartel, Martin Kittel, Leander Kotzur, Inga Labuhn, Julie Lundquist, Noah PflugradtKarin van der Wiel, Marianne Zeyringer, David Brayshaw

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

32 Scopus Citations

Abstract

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modeling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a community of practice in energy-climate modeling has started to form that aims to better integrate energy system models with weather and climate models. Here, we evaluate the disconnects between the energy system and climate modeling communities, then lay out a research agenda to bridge those disconnects. In the near-term, we propose interdisciplinary activities for expediting uptake of future climate data in energy system modeling. In the long-term, we propose a transdisciplinary approach to enable development of (1) energy-system-tailored climate datasets for historical and future meteorological conditions and (2) energy system models that can effectively leverage those datasets. This agenda increases the odds of meeting ambitious climate mitigation goals by systematically capturing and mitigating climate risk in energy sector decision-making.
Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)1405-1417
Number of pages13
JournalJoule
Volume6
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - 2022

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/JA-5000-82991

Keywords

  • climate change
  • climate modeling
  • energy system
  • wind energy

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