Pro2R: Procurement of Ramping Product and Regulation in CAISO Using Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasts

Benjamin Hobbs, Venkat Krishnan, Paul Edwards, Haiku Sky, Ibrahim Krad, Carlo Siebenschuh, Hendrik Hamann, Rui Zhang, Jie Zhang, Binghui Li, Li He, Yijiao Wang, Shu Zhang

Research output: NRELPresentation

Abstract

This presentation summarizes the objectives and findings from the project titled, "Pro2R: Coordinated Procurement of Ramping Product & Regulation in CAISO Using Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasts," funded by DOE SETO. The goal is to develop cutting edge probabilistic solar power forecasting methods, and integrate them into ISO market operations. The team has integrated in two ways: 1) to procure ramping product and regulation requirements (ancillary services) in the California ISO market, and 2) to develop an open source visitation and ramp alert related situational awareness using probabilistic forecasts. This deck also summarizes the results from the use of machine learning methods to relate probabilistic solar forecasts to the the needs for flexible ramp product in the California ISO system.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages31
StatePublished - 2021

Publication series

NamePresented at the Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) Workshop on Solar Forecasting, 5-6 May 2021

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/PR-5D00-80108

Keywords

  • dynamic regulation
  • flexible ramping product
  • machine learning
  • market benefits
  • open source visualization
  • probabilistic solar power forecasts
  • reliability
  • situational awareness

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