Projecting Solar Photovoltaic Efficiencies from Lab to Market

Brian Hodge; Iris Beuzekom; Han Slootweg

doi:10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813

Projecting Solar Photovoltaic Efficiencies from Lab to Market

Brian Hodge, Iris Beuzekom, Han Slootweg

Power Systems Engineering

Eindhoven University of Technology

Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper › peer-review

6 Scopus Citations

Abstract

The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.

Original language	American English
Pages	1-6
Number of pages	6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813 https://doi.org/10.1109/ENERGYCON.2018.8398813
State	Published - 27 Jun 2018
Event	2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018 - Limassol, Cyprus Duration: 3 Jun 2018 → 7 Jun 2018

Conference

Conference	2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018
Country/Territory	Cyprus
City	Limassol
Period	3/06/18 → 7/06/18

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 IEEE.

NREL Publication Number

NREL/CP-5D00-71109

Keywords

conversion efficiency
forecasting
photovoltaics
PV
solar

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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Cite this

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abstract = "The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.",

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AU - Beuzekom, Iris

AU - Slootweg, Han

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AB - The future is uncertain and forecasting it is difficult. Yet to implement energy policies aimed at sustainable development, it is imperative to determine future energy scenarios. This requires forecasting the development of all relevant generation technologies, including the conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaics. Using historical data, a proven development formula and data on the lag between lab and market, efficiency projections up to 2050 are made for c-Si, CdTe, CIGS, 3- and 4 junction, perovskite, and quantum dot solar cells. The projected efficiencies of the first three, older technologies do not change significantly. The last four, newer technologies could make great leaps in efficiency and increase their market potential, if R&D efforts continue.

KW - conversion efficiency

KW - forecasting

KW - photovoltaics

KW - PV

KW - solar

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M3 - Paper

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T2 - 2018 IEEE International Energy Conference, ENERGYCON 2018

Y2 - 3 June 2018 through 7 June 2018

ER -

Projecting Solar Photovoltaic Efficiencies from Lab to Market

Abstract

Conference

Bibliographical note

NREL Publication Number

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

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