Sensitivity of Rooftop PV Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market Assumptions

Research output: NRELTechnical Report

Abstract

The SunShot Vision Study explored the potential growth of solar markets if solar prices decreased by about 75% from 2010 to 2020. The SolarDS model was used to simulate rooftop PV demand for this study, based on several PV market assumptions--future electricity rates, customer access to financing, and others--in addition to the SunShot PV price projections. This paper finds that modeled PV demandis highly sensitive to several non-price market assumptions, particularly PV financing parameters.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages37
DOIs
StatePublished - 2013

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/TP-6A20-54620

Keywords

  • photovoltaic
  • PV
  • solar markets
  • SOLARDS model
  • SunShot

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