Sensitivity of Rooftop PV Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market Assumptions

Paul Denholm; Robert Margolis; Easan Drury

doi:10.2172/1067918

Sensitivity of Rooftop PV Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market Assumptions

Paul Denholm
, Robert Margolis
, Easan Drury

Strategic Energy Analysis Center

National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Research output: NLR › Technical Report

Abstract

The SunShot Vision Study explored the potential growth of solar markets if solar prices decreased by about 75% from 2010 to 2020. The SolarDS model was used to simulate rooftop PV demand for this study, based on several PV market assumptions--future electricity rates, customer access to financing, and others--in addition to the SunShot PV price projections. This paper finds that modeled PV demandis highly sensitive to several non-price market assumptions, particularly PV financing parameters.

Original language	American English
Number of pages	37
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.2172/1067918
State	Published - 2013

NLR Publication Number

NREL/TP-6A20-54620

Keywords

photovoltaic
PV
solar markets
SOLARDS model
SunShot

Access to Document

10.2172/1067918

https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy13osti/54620.pdf

Cite this

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title = "Sensitivity of Rooftop PV Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market Assumptions",

abstract = "The SunShot Vision Study explored the potential growth of solar markets if solar prices decreased by about 75\% from 2010 to 2020. The SolarDS model was used to simulate rooftop PV demand for this study, based on several PV market assumptions--future electricity rates, customer access to financing, and others--in addition to the SunShot PV price projections. This paper finds that modeled PV demandis highly sensitive to several non-price market assumptions, particularly PV financing parameters.",

keywords = "photovoltaic, PV, solar markets, SOLARDS model, SunShot",

author = "Paul Denholm and Robert Margolis and Easan Drury",

year = "2013",

doi = "10.2172/1067918",

language = "American English",

type = "Other",

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TY - GEN

T1 - Sensitivity of Rooftop PV Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market Assumptions

AU - Denholm, Paul

AU - Margolis, Robert

AU - Drury, Easan

PY - 2013

Y1 - 2013

N2 - The SunShot Vision Study explored the potential growth of solar markets if solar prices decreased by about 75% from 2010 to 2020. The SolarDS model was used to simulate rooftop PV demand for this study, based on several PV market assumptions--future electricity rates, customer access to financing, and others--in addition to the SunShot PV price projections. This paper finds that modeled PV demandis highly sensitive to several non-price market assumptions, particularly PV financing parameters.

AB - The SunShot Vision Study explored the potential growth of solar markets if solar prices decreased by about 75% from 2010 to 2020. The SolarDS model was used to simulate rooftop PV demand for this study, based on several PV market assumptions--future electricity rates, customer access to financing, and others--in addition to the SunShot PV price projections. This paper finds that modeled PV demandis highly sensitive to several non-price market assumptions, particularly PV financing parameters.

KW - photovoltaic

KW - PV

KW - solar markets

KW - SOLARDS model

KW - SunShot

U2 - 10.2172/1067918

DO - 10.2172/1067918

M3 - Technical Report

ER -

Sensitivity of Rooftop PV Projections in the SunShot Vision Study to Market Assumptions

Abstract

NLR Publication Number

Keywords

Access to Document

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Cite this