Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Abstract

Wind power forecasting is expected to be an important enabler for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that do occur can be critical to system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of windpower forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages9
StatePublished - 2012
Event11th Annual International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants Conference - Lisbon, Portugal
Duration: 13 Nov 201215 Nov 2012

Conference

Conference11th Annual International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants Conference
CityLisbon, Portugal
Period13/11/1215/11/12

NREL Publication Number

  • NREL/CP-5500-56130

Keywords

  • National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
  • NREL
  • power system operations
  • power system reliability
  • power systems
  • wind power forecasting
  • wind power generation

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